On the Importance of Detailed Thermal Modeling for Price Forecasting in Hydro-Thermal Power Systems

Autor: Christian Øyn Naversen, Stefan Jaehnert, Arild Helseth, Mari Haugen, Birger Mo, Hossein Farahmand
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: 2019 IEEE Electrical Power and Energy Conference (EPEC).
DOI: 10.1109/epec47565.2019.9074832
Popis: This paper presents a framework for long-term price forecasting in hydro-thermal power systems comprising two modeling layers. A long-term hydro-thermal model expresses the expected future cost as a function of hydro reservoir levels to a short-term operational model. The short-term model re-optimizes the weekly decision problem with more details and a finer time resolution. To cope with the high computation times, we decompose the weekly decision problem into daily sub-problems by interpolating in the weekly cost functions from the long-term model. The short-term model is refined by adding detailed constraints on the operation of thermal power plants. We assess the importance of detailed modeling of thermal power plants in a case study of the Nordic power system.
Databáze: OpenAIRE