ESTIMATION OF DEPENDENCE OF PASSENGER TURNOVER OF TRANSPORT ON MACROECONOMIC FACTORS

Autor: D. Z. Kagan
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Zdroj: World of Transport and Transportation. 15:140-149
ISSN: 1992-3252
DOI: 10.30932/1992-3252-2017-15-1-12
Popis: [For the English abstract and full text of the article please see the attached PDF-File (English version follows Russian version)].ABSTRACT The instability of the domestic transport services market, significant fluctuations in demand on the part of the population, make it necessary to evaluate the range of problems under study with particular attention. The author analyzes the impact of macroeconomic factors on passenger traffic. The article reveals the high dependence of the total passenger flow on the economic condition of the country, the population’s solvency margin. The change in the strength of the connection between passenger turnover and GDP over the last 24 years is considered. It is suggested that there is some «inertia» of transportation indicators and, at the same time, the predominant coincidence of the dynamics of the gross domestic product and the total passenger flow is analytically proved. Keywords: transport, macroeconomic factors, passenger transportation, forecasting, GDP, passenger turnover, interdependence of indicators.
Databáze: OpenAIRE