| Autor: |
Douglas S. Bell, Jeffrey G. Klann, Gilbert S. Omenn, Malarkodi J Samayamuthu, Alon Geva, Isaac S. Kohane, Karen L. Olson, Shyam Visweswaran, Alberto Malovini, Thomas Maulhardt, Brett K. Beaulieu-Jones, Gabriel A. Brat, Paul Avillach, Luca Chiovato, Chuan Hong, Zongqi Xia, Robert W Follett, Emilly Schriver, Danielle L. Mowery, Martin Boeker, Hossein Estiri, Kavishwar B. Wagholikar, Andrew M South, Bertrand Moal, Griffin M. Weber, Jason H. Moore, Siegbert Rieg, Riccardo Bellazzi, David A. Hanauer, Vianney Jouhet, Amelia Lm Tan, Anthony L L J Li, Kenneth D. Mandl, Ne Hooi Will Loh, Kee Yuan Ngiam, Valentina Tibollo, Shawn N. Murphy, Victor M. Castro, Michele I. Morris |
| Rok vydání: |
2020 |
| Předmět: |
|
| DOI: |
10.1101/2020.10.13.20201855 |
| Popis: |
IntroductionThe Consortium for Clinical Characterization of COVID-19 by EHR (4CE) includes hundreds of hospitals internationally using a federated computational approach to COVID-19 research using the EHR.ObjectiveWe sought to develop and validate a standard definition of COVID-19 severity from readily accessible EHR data across the Consortium.MethodsWe developed an EHR-based severity algorithm and validated it on patient hospitalization data from 12 4CE clinical sites against the outcomes of ICU admission and/or death. We also used a machine learning approach to compare selected predictors of severity to the 4CE algorithm at one site.ResultsThe 4CE severity algorithm performed with pooled sensitivity of 0.73 and specificity 0.83 for the combined outcome of ICU admission and/or death. The sensitivity of single code categories for acuity were unacceptably inaccurate - varying by up to 0.65 across sites. A multivariate machine learning approach identified codes resulting in mean AUC 0.956 (95% CI: 0.952, 0.959) compared to 0.903 (95% CI: 0.886, 0.921) using expert-derived codes. Billing codes were poor proxies of ICU admission, with 49% precision and recall compared against chart review at one partner institution.DiscussionWe developed a proxy measure of severity that proved resilient to coding variability internationally by using a set of 6 code classes. In contrast, machine-learning approaches may tend to overfit hospital-specific orders. Manual chart review revealed discrepancies even in the gold standard outcomes, possibly due to pandemic conditions.ConclusionWe developed an EHR-based algorithm for COVID-19 severity and validated it at 12 international sites. |
| Databáze: |
OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|
