Electrification of the Canadian road transportation sector: A 2050 outlook with TIMES-Canada
| Autor: | Kathleen Vaillancourt, Mathilde Marcy, Olivier Bahn, Jean-Philippe Waaub |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2013 |
| Předmět: |
Engineering
business.product_category business.industry 020209 energy Fossil fuel 02 engineering and technology 010501 environmental sciences Management Monitoring Policy and Law Green vehicle Policy analysis 01 natural sciences 7. Clean energy Energy policy Transport engineering General Energy Electrification 13. Climate action Greenhouse gas Electric vehicle 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering business Baseline (configuration management) 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | Energy Policy. 62:593-606 |
| ISSN: | 0301-4215 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.enpol.2013.07.023 |
| Popis: | We use a newly developed bottom-up model of the entire Canadian energy system (TIMES-Canada) to assess potentials for electrification of the road transport sector. A special emphasis has been put on the modelling of the Canadian road transport, by considering a variety of vehicles for passenger and freight transportation. Besides a business-as-usual (baseline) scenario, we have analysed an energy policy scenario imposing targets for electric vehicle penetration and a climate policy scenario imposing targets for greenhouse gas emission reduction. Our analysis shows on the one hand that electric vehicles penetrate notably the passenger vehicle market after 2040 in the baseline scenario and after 2030 in the energy policy scenario (following the assumed penetration targets). On the other hand, the assumed climate policy forces a stronger penetration of electric vehicles for passenger transportation, with a progressive phasing out of internal combustion engine vehicles, whereas the latter vehicles remain dominant for freight transportation but with a shift away of fossil fuels and in favour of biofuels. A sensitivity analysis on the (assumed) evolution of electric vehicles over time confirms these general trends. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|
Full Text from ScienceDirect