Hot and cold hands on the PGA Tour: Do they exist?

Autor:	Ryan Elmore, Andrew Urbaczewski
Rok vydání:	2018
Předmět:	010104 statistics & probability 03 medical and health sciences 0302 clinical medicine Basketball Computer science Statistics Poisson binomial distribution Tournament 030229 sport sciences 0101 mathematics 01 natural sciences Test (assessment)
Zdroj:	Journal of Sports Analytics. 4:275-284
ISSN:	2215-0218 2215-020X
DOI:	10.3233/jsa-180214
Popis:	In this paper, we develop a test for the "hot hand" effect on the PGA Tour using data from the 2014 season. We define "hot hand" in golf as having a greater probability of recording a birdie or better on a hole immediately following a birdie or better, rather than if the golfer recorded a par or worse. The test, based on the Poisson binomial distribution, takes into account each hole's relative difficulty and each player's propensity to record a birdie or better on similar types of holes. Our results seem to agree with most of the related work on hot hand effects in basketball, golf, and other sports; namely that it does not exist over the course of a season. We do, however, see that golfers may get hot in a tournament and go on what is commonly referred to in the golf parlance as a "birdie barrage".
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::bf6727e87f752dfbee65863ee97c6296 https://doi.org/10.3233/jsa-180214 Zobrazit plný text záznamu