Spatial and temporal synthesized probability gain for middle and long-term earthquake forecast and its preliminary application

Autor:	Xiao-Qing Wang, Li-Ren Zhang, Zheng-Xiang Fu, Sheng-Ping Su, Xiang Ding
Rok vydání:	2000
Předmět:	Geophysics Meteorology Forecast error Climatology Earthquake forecast Quantitative precipitation forecast North china Environmental science Forecast skill Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology Forecast verification R-value (insulation) Term (time)
Zdroj:	Acta Seismologica Sinica. 13:50-60
ISSN:	1993-1344 1000-9116
DOI:	10.1007/s11589-000-0081-0
Popis:	The principle of middle and long-term earthquake forecast model of spatial and temporal synthesized probability gain and the evaluation of forecast efficiency (R-values) of various forecast methods are introduced in this paper. The R-value method, developed by Xu (1989), is further developed here, and can be applied to more complicated cases. Probability gains in spatial and/or temporal domains and the R-values for different forecast methods are estimated in North China. The synthesized probability gain is then estimated as an example.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::bd7fa8200e663f90f250d1cd383a29af https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-000-0081-0 Zobrazit plný text záznamu Full text from SpringerLink