Popis: |
The question is often asked to what extent voting choices are made on the basis of issues and to what extent they are made on the basis of the candidates’ personalities, the party supported or the general impression transmitted by the campaign. As Nicolas Sauger underlines, ‘since the 1970s “issue voting” has been proved to exist in most of the major European countries’. However, ‘this is not necessarily the case in France’. In 2012, after a campaign dominated by the economic crisis and characterized by strong electoral volatility, the question might well be looked at differently. How might it be answered from the perspective of the strategist rather than the political scientist? How might it be answered by drawing on both the quantitative (individual interviews carried out during each wave among volatile voters) and the qualitative elements (voting intentions, concerns and motivations) provided by the ten waves of the Presidoscopie, How might it be answered by distinguishing between what is actually known and what can merely be supposed about this presidential election? |