Estimation of fatality ratios and investigation of influential factors in the 2011 Great East Japan Tsunami
| Autor: | Anawat Suppasri, Patcharavadee Thamarux, Panon Latcharote, Fumihiko Imamura, Natt Leelawat |
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| Rok vydání: | 2018 |
| Předmět: |
Shore
Estimation 021110 strategic defence & security studies education.field_of_study geography.geographical_feature_category 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences Population 0211 other engineering and technologies Geology Regression analysis 02 engineering and technology Building and Construction Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology 01 natural sciences Arrival time Age and gender Geography Physical geography education Inverse correlation Safety Research 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 29:37-54 |
| ISSN: | 2212-4209 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.06.024 |
| Popis: | The 2011 Great East Japan earthquake caused a wide-ranging and devastating tsunami that reached a maximum height of 40 m and caused 19,000 fatalities, particularly along the Tohoku coast of Japan. The purpose of this study is to present a new estimation of the fatality ratios based on tsunami arrival times and evacuation perspectives and to present lessons learned for future tsunami loss assessments in other areas. In addition, this study investigates influencing factors, such as age, gender, and two coastal topography types (Sanriku ria-coast and Sendai plain). The fatality ratio is calculated by the number of fatalities divided by the population at the town scale along the shoreline, and the tsunami arrival time is calculated using the TUNAMI model with nesting grids of 1350 m, 450 m, 150 m, and 50 m. Then, linear and nonlinear regression analyses are performed to develop a relationship between the fatality ratios and tsunami arrival times. For different topography types, different distributions of fatality ratios with tsunami arrival times were observed; the fatality ratios of the Sendai plain were generally higher than those of the Sanriku ria-coast for the same arrival time. Based on the results, a strong inverse correlation between the fatality ratios and the tsunami arrival times was found in the Sendai plain, while the Sanriku ria-coast must be divided into two groups to obtain this correlation. Furthermore, other influencing factors, such as age and gender, contributed to differences in estimating the fatality ratios. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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