Conformal Predictive Distributions with Kernels

Autor: Vladimir Vovk, Ilia Nouretdinov, Alexander Gammerman, Valery Manokhin
Rok vydání: 2018
Předmět:
Zdroj: Braverman Readings in Machine Learning. Key Ideas from Inception to Current State ISBN: 9783319994918
Braverman Readings in Machine Learning
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-99492-5_4
Popis: This paper reviews the checkered history of predictive distributions in statistics and discusses two developments, one from recent literature and the other new. The first development is bringing predictive distributions into machine learning, whose early development was so deeply influenced by two remarkable groups at the Institute of Automation and Remote Control. As result, they become more robust and their validity ceases to depend on Bayesian or narrow parametric assumptions. The second development is combining predictive distributions with kernel methods, which were originated by one of those groups, including Emmanuel Braverman. As result, they become more flexible and, therefore, their predictive efficiency improves significantly for realistic non-linear data sets.
Databáze: OpenAIRE