Do Civil Wars, Coups and Riots Have the Same Structural Determinants?
Autor: | Cristina Bodea, Ibrahim Elbadawi, Christian Houle |
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Rok vydání: | 2016 |
Předmět: |
021110 strategic
defence & security studies education.field_of_study media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences Population 0211 other engineering and technologies 02 engineering and technology Democracy 0506 political science Power (social and political) Social group Politics Spanish Civil War State (polity) Political Science and International Relations Development economics 050602 political science & public administration Economics Political instability education media_common |
Zdroj: | International Interactions. 43:537-561 |
ISSN: | 1547-7444 0305-0629 |
DOI: | 10.1080/03050629.2016.1188093 |
Popis: | The literature on political instability focuses on institutional and leader survival or outcomes like civil wars and coups. We suggest that this approach overlooks lower levels of instability and that isolating outcomes understates the likelihood that they are manifestations of similar structural determinants. We extend the notion of instability to encompass jointly but distinctly civil wars, coups, and riots. Our explanation focuses on the role of political institutions and the related ethnopolitical strife over state power. Using data from 1950 to 2007, we find that the three outcomes share some determinants such as a factional partial democracy and the exclusion from power of a large proportion of the population; the inverted U-shaped effect of political institutions is driven by a subset of semidemocracies; and there is a substitution relationship between civil wars and coups emerging from the composition of governing coalitions. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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