The Empirical Relationship between Ethnic Distance and Voter Behavior
| Autor: | Adam S. Harris |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2022 |
| DOI: | 10.1093/oso/9780197638200.003.0006 |
| Popis: | Chapter 6 executes the empirical strategy from Chapter 5 to test the theory presented in Chapter 2 on the South African case. It uses multivariate regression analysis to estimate the effect of ethnic distance on the propensity to vote with one's group and to change one’s vote due to the 2014 election campaigns. To estimate the latter, it uses ethnic distance to predict changes in vote choice across the two surveys. The chapter also uses data from the survey experiment to investigate the effects of campaign appeals more precisely. The chapter then maps survey estimates of racial distance onto real electoral outcomes from the 2014 national elections to test the effect using actual vote returns. And finally, it provides tests of the core social treatment mechanism. The chapter finds support for the argument that differential social treatment weakens identification with one’s group and reduces the likelihood of voting with the group. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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