Flight to Safety: COVID-Induced Changes in the Intensity of Status Quo Preference and Voting Behavior
| Autor: | James Bisbee, Dan Honig |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Warrant
Sociology and Political Science Status quo media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences Preference Democracy 0506 political science Primary election Voting 0502 economics and business Political Science and International Relations 050602 political science & public administration medicine Anxiety Voting behavior 050207 economics medicine.symptom Psychology Social psychology media_common |
| Zdroj: | American Political Science Review. 116:70-86 |
| ISSN: | 1537-5943 0003-0554 |
| Popis: | The relationship between anxiety and investor behavior is well known enough to warrant its own aphorism: A "flight to safety."We posit that anxiety alters the intensity of voters' preference for the status quo, inducing a political flight to safety toward establishment candidates. Leveraging the outbreak of the novel coronavirus during the Democratic primary election of 2020, we identify a causal effect of the outbreak on voting, with Biden benefiting between 7 and 15 percentage points at Sanders's expense. A survey experiment in which participants exposed to an anxiety-inducing prompt choose the less disruptive hypothetical candidate provides further evidence of our theorized flight to safety among US-based respondents. Evidence from 2020 French municipal and US House primary elections suggests a COVID-induced flight to safety generalizes to benefit mainstream candidates across a variety of settings. Our findings suggest an as-yet underappreciated preference for "safe"candidates in times of anxiety. © The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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