The Macro-Economic Impact of HIV/AIDS in South Africa

Autor:	Ellis Ll, Smit Bw, Laubscher P
Rok vydání:	2003
Předmět:	Economics and Econometrics Economic growth Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) Economics medicine Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) Macro medicine.disease medicine.disease_cause Economic impact of HIV/AIDS Demography
Zdroj:	Studies in Economics and Econometrics. 27:1-28
ISSN:	2693-5198 0379-6205
DOI:	10.1080/10800379.2003.12106345
Popis:	The macro-economic impact of HIV / AIDS in South Africa over the next 10 to 15 years is investigated by means of a macro-econometric model of the South African economy. The analysis is based on a set of HIV / AIDS inclusive and exclusive demographic projections for South Africa for the period up to 2015. The paper provides a detailed description of the various macro-economic channels of impact, the assumptions required to generate the model simulations, the macro-economic results and a sensitivity analysis of the main assumptions. The results suggest that although HIV / AIDS is expected to have a marked impact on macro-economic conditions in South Africa, the impact is not likely to be devastating to longer-term growth and development.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
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