Breaking the deadlock:Guarantees in International Mediation

Autor: Raymond Cohen
Rok vydání: 2001
Předmět:
Zdroj: Cambridge Review of International Affairs. 14:39-52
ISSN: 1474-449X
0955-7571
DOI: 10.1080/09557570108400355
Popis: This article examines the problem of overcoming strategic deadlock in international negotiations for the resolution of protracted conflict. Deadlocks are prolonged periods of immobility that may result from acute uncertainty associated with doubts about the reliability of one's negotiating partner. When the parties are paralysed by mistrust, third‐party guarantees can facilitate a breakthrough in negotiations by acting as instruments of risk management. In game theoretical terms, they guarantee the players against defection in prisoner's dilemma situations and permit mutual cooperation. By providing an external sanction against the other side's bad faith, international guarantees lower the risks attached both to the negotiation itself and to the envisaged settlement. The theoretical argument is demonstrated with reference to the 1975 Egyptian‐Israeli disengagement talks. Here, American guarantees proved crucial in breaking a prolonged deadlock that had developed.
Databáze: OpenAIRE