Merrill Lynch Improves Liquidity Risk Management for Revolving Credit Lines

Autor: Russ Labe, Wenyue Hsu, Tom Duffy, Lihua Yang, Bonnie Liao, Manos Hatzakis, Xiangdong (Sheldon) Luo, Je Oh, Adeesh Setya
Rok vydání: 2005
Předmět:
Zdroj: Interfaces. 35:353-369
ISSN: 1526-551X
0092-2102
DOI: 10.1287/inte.1050.0157
Popis: Merrill Lynch Bank USA has a multibillion dollar portfolio of revolving credit-line commitments with over 100 institutions. These credit lines give corporations access to a specified amount of cash for short-term funding needs. A key risk associated with credit lines is liquidity risk, or the risk that the bank will need to provide significant assets to the borrowers on short notice. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation to analyze liquidity risk of a revolving credit portfolio. The model incorporates a mix of OR/MS techniques, including a Markov transition process, expert-system rules, and correlated random variables to capture the impact of industry correlations among the borrowers. Results from the model enabled the bank to free up about $4 billion of liquidity. Over the 21 months since the bank implemented the model, the portfolio has expanded by 60 percent to over $13 billion. The model has become part of the bank’s tool kit for managing liquidity risk and continues to be used every month.
Databáze: OpenAIRE