P2755Acute kidney injury risk calculator in patients with infective endocarditis

Autor: M Sorokina, Zh. D. Kobalava, E O Kotova, N Povalyaev, M Teterina, Y L Karaulova, A S Milto, A.V. Balatskiy, L Goreva, Marina Efremovtseva, A S Pisaryuk
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: European Heart Journal. 40
ISSN: 1522-9645
0195-668X
2597-9590
Popis: Background Kidney involvement in IE has a huge contribution in failure of the treatment. Frequency of kidney lesions is still high. There are several risk calculators for prognosing embolic events, perioperational mortality, 6-month mortality, but there is none for prognosing kidney events in IE. Materials/Methods 209 patients with verified IE (DUKE 2009, 2015), hospitalized from 2010 to 2018, were included in the study. Kidney function was assessed using CKD-EPI formula. AKI was diagnosed according to current guidelines (KDIGO 2012). Clinical, hematological and echocardiographic features were analysed to look for predictors of AKI. To create a simple risk calculator independent predictors obtained from log-regression analysis were used. The risk formula was derived using the coefficients: Pr(Y) = 1/[1 + exp(−XB)] where Pr(Y) = prognosed risk of AKI, XB = coef1*predictor1 + ... + logit-regression constant. Results AKI was presented in 66% cases and mainly was I (41%) and III (37%) stages. Predictors for AKI were established: MRSA OR 8.0 (95% CI 1.01–68.48; p=0.054), emergence or worsening of the HF sympthoms OR 2.83 (95% CI 1.27–6.32; p=0.011), gentamycin OR 2.71 (95% CI 1.33–5.53, p=0.006), history of CAD OR 2.35 (95% CI 1.05–5.27) p=0.038, WBC at admission >11.5x109/l OR 1.07 (95% CI 1.01–1.13), duration of hospitalization >20.7 days OR 1.03 (95% CI 1.01–1.05) p=0.005, C-reactive protein >90 mg/l OR 1.01 (95% CI 1.01–1.02) p=0.001. Simple risk calculator Coef OR Indicator MRSA 2.0755 8 0 Emergence or worsening of the heart failure sympthoms 1.04041 2.83 0 Gentamycin 0.3640833 2.71 1 History of coronary artery disease 0.8542633 2.35 1 White blood count at admission 0.0691979 1.07 13 Duration of hospitalization 0.0308953 1.03 2 C-reactive protein 0.0075288 1.01 180 Constant −3.275098 0.0378132 Logit 0.259795900 P 0.564586119 Scaling parameter 100 Points 56 Result 56 Conclusions A simple risk calculator for AKI is developed for patients with IE.
Databáze: OpenAIRE