M W9 Tohoku earthquake in 2011 in Japan: precursors uncovered by natural time analysis
| Autor: | Efthimios S. Skordas, Nicholas V. Sarlis, Mary S. Lazaridou-Varotsos, Panayiotis A. Varotsos |
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| Rok vydání: | 2017 |
| Předmět: |
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences
Earthquake prediction Geology Induced seismicity 010502 geochemistry & geophysics Geotechnical Engineering and Engineering Geology 01 natural sciences Natural (archaeology) Electric signal Geophysics Earth's magnetic field VAN method Time domain Seismology 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | Earthquake Science. 30:183-191 |
| ISSN: | 1867-8777 1674-4519 |
| DOI: | 10.1007/s11589-017-0189-0 |
| Popis: | This paper reviews the precursory phenomena of the 2011 M W9 Tohoku earthquake in Japan that emerge solely when we analyze the seismicity data in a new time domain termed natural time. If we do not consider this analysis, important precursory changes cannot be identified and hence are missed. Natural time analysis has the privilege that enables the introduction of an order parameter of seismicity. In this frame, we find that the fluctuations of this parameter exhibit an unprecedented characteristic change, i.e., an evident minimum, approximately two months before Tohoku earthquake, which strikingly is almost simultaneous with unique anomalous geomagnetic field variations recorded mainly on the z component. This is consistent with our finding that such a characteristic change in seismicity appears when a seismic electric signal (SES) activity of the VAN method (from the initials of Varotsos, Alexopoulos, Nomicos) initiates, and provides a direct confirmation of the physical interconnection between SES and seismicity. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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