Post-Soviet Society and Russia’s Macroeconomic Statistics

Autor: D. Fomin, G. Khanin
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Zdroj: Russian Politics & Law. 55:199-222
ISSN: 1558-0962
1061-1940
DOI: 10.1080/10611940.2017.1527062
Popis: This article investigates the causes of the distorted macroeconomic statistics in the Russian Federation. It introduces alternative methods for the estimation of gross domestic product (GDP) growth, and the growth and amount of fixed capital stock, and estimates them by drawing on alternative data. Our estimates for the period of 1992–2015 differ substantially from those reported by the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). According to our estimates, GDP declined by 10.2 percent, which is in sharp contrast with the official estimate reporting growth of 13.4 percent. The same is found with regard to labor productivity, for which we find a decline of 30.1 percent instead of a growth of 9.2 percent. Accordingly, the full book value of fixed capital stock shrunk by 29.2 percent instead of the officially reported 50.9 percent growth. The drop in the residual value of fixed capital is estimated at 52.6 percent. The ratio of replacement to book value of fixed capital fluctuated between 4:1 in the ...
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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