Instability and violence in Imperial Rome: A 'laboratory' for studying social contagion?
| Autor: | Ashok Nimgade |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2016 |
| Předmět: |
Reign
Multidisciplinary History General Computer Science media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences Empire Emotional contagion 01 natural sciences Instability 050105 experimental psychology Genealogy Roman Empire 010104 statistics & probability Memory persistence 0501 psychology and cognitive sciences 0101 mathematics Period (music) Demography media_common |
| Zdroj: | Complexity. 21:613-622 |
| ISSN: | 1076-2787 |
| DOI: | 10.1002/cplx.21839 |
| Popis: | Imperial Rome with its >50% assassination rate of emperors, many of whom are depicted in history as ‘deranged’, initially appears a chaotic period of history beyond the purview of science. But time series analysis indicates this violence occurred non-randomly: reign length was autocorrelated and demonstrated ‘memory persistence,’ and short reigns occurred in clusters. Additionally, deviations from average reign-length occurred in patterns matching the Empire's rise and decline. A model is proposed for how army-backed usurpation and post-coup instability likely generated the observed cycles. The five-century span of Imperial Rome likely makes it the longest-lived regime with fair documentation, and potentially provides a ‘laboratory’ with ongoing relevance for studying transmission of violence and instability. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity, 2016 |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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