The impact of economic and political factors on popularity in France (1981–2017)

Autor:	Antoine Auberger
Rok vydání:	2019
Předmět:	Sociology and Political Science Punishment media_common.quotation_subject Comparative politics Honeymoon Popularity Econometric model Politics Political science Political economy Political Science and International Relations Openness to experience Economic system Closed economy media_common
Zdroj:	French Politics. 17:451-467
ISSN:	1476-3427 1476-3419
DOI:	10.1057/s41253-019-00103-8
Popis:	In this article, we study a popularity function for the popularity of the French political parties (1981Q2–2017Q1). At first, we suppose that voters have a retrospective behaviour according to the reward-punishment model in a closed economy. We show that the unemployment rate has a significant influence on the popularity of the French political parties and find unfavourable results for the partisan hypothesis. The analysis also indicates that economic openness has an influence on popularity, thus a partly expected result for the asymmetry hypothesis: punishment without any reward. For the political variables, significant influence of the honeymoon effect, the second-order elections (regional or European) and the congresses of the Socialist party are also found to be significant.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::9208c0ecd94b662155cb7551462e8b9c https://doi.org/10.1057/s41253-019-00103-8 Zobrazit plný text záznamu Full text from SpringerLink