A closer look into the global determinants of oil price volatility
| Autor: | Michail Filippidis, George Filis, David Gabauer, Ioannis Chatziantoniou |
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| Rok vydání: | 2021 |
| Předmět: |
Economics and Econometrics
Oil market Short run 020209 energy media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences Financial market 02 engineering and technology Monetary economics Recession General Energy Autoregressive model 0502 economics and business Oil demand 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering Economics 050207 economics Oil price Volatility (finance) media_common |
| Zdroj: | Energy Economics. 95:105092 |
| ISSN: | 0140-9883 |
| Popis: | In this paper we investigate global determinants of oil price volatility by employing a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model. We focus on realised volatility and consider the impact from a set of potential determinants including oil supply, oil demand, oil inventory, financial market uncertainty, financial interbank stress, as well as, financial trends in different currencies. We investigate the impact of these factors on realised volatility utilising monthly data over the period 1990:1–2019:5. Findings show that all factors can be conducive to higher levels of realised oil price volatility particularly in the short run. What can further be noticed, is that the magnitude of the corresponding impulse response functions may differ across time and this could largely be attributed to specific intervals of financial crises and economic recessions. Nevertheless, we show that shocks originating to the financial markets tend to be more important for oil price volatility. Our findings are closely linked to the implications regarding the financialisation of the oil market. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
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