Anticipating impacts of introducing aluminum-cerium alloys into the United States automotive market
Autor: | Orlando Rios, Scott K. McCall, Eric T. Stromme, D. Devin Imholte, David Weiss, Ruby T. Nguyen, Zachary C. Sims |
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Rok vydání: | 2019 |
Předmět: |
Truck
Economics and Econometrics business.industry Material flow analysis 0211 other engineering and technologies Automotive industry chemistry.chemical_element 02 engineering and technology 010501 environmental sciences Environmental economics 01 natural sciences Cerium chemistry Aluminium Production (economics) Environmental science 021108 energy Automotive market business Waste Management and Disposal Target market 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
Zdroj: | Resources, Conservation and Recycling. 144:340-349 |
ISSN: | 0921-3449 |
Popis: | Increasing demand of abundant co-product rare earths such as cerium and lanthanum has become a focus for improving mine economics. The recent development of an aluminum-cerium (Al-Ce) alloy targeted toward broad market adoption in the automotive industry is one recent example. This alloy has shown exceptional mechanical properties and cost-saving potential. However, since market adoption is unknown, impacts of this alloy on Ce demand remains uncertain. We estimate Al-Ce impacts by simulating adoption in different automotive sectors using a dynamic material flow analysis model. We then project future Ce content in the recycled Al stream given current recycling practices. We also compute the required segregation given different Ce impurity tolerances of existing automotive Al alloys. Finally, once secondary supply is derived from segregation, we calculate primary Ce demand. Results showed that segregation of Al-Ce components from non-AlCe automotive Al components is needed for most adoption scenarios and impurity thresholds. Ce metal demand was found to be lowest at 1000 mt/yr if the target market is light duty trucks. If Al-Ce could penetrate the High Efficiency Spark Ignition market (i.e., turbocharger market), Ce demand could reach 23,200 mt Ce/year in 2045, without accounting for Chinese and Australian Ce primary production capacity. When accounting for primary Ce production capacity, demand could reach up to 16,200 mt/yr. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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