Prototype Decision Support System for Operations on the Gunnison Basin with Improved Forecasts

Autor: Edith Zagona, Satish Kumar Regonda, Balaji Rajagopalan
Rok vydání: 2011
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management. 137:428-438
ISSN: 1943-5452
0733-9496
DOI: 10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000133
Popis: Numerous studies have developed new methods for skillful long-lead seasonal streamflow forecasts, especially in the western United States, and most assume that the streamflow forecast skills translate into improved water resources decision making, but there has been little comprehensive demonstration of this. This translation is not straightforward because the decision system is nonlinear. This paper develops a prototype decision support system (DSS) to systematically evaluate the translation of streamflow forecast skills to water resource operational variables and decision variables in the Gunnison River basin (GRB). The DSS consists of two main modules: (1) a multimodel ensemble streamflow forecast module that uses large-scale climate information and issues forecast ensembles, and (2) a decision support module (developed in the generalized decision tool, RiverWare) that captures the seasonal operations and management of the GRB water resources system. Ensembles of streamflow forecast scenarios drive the...
Databáze: OpenAIRE