A New Approach for Quantifying Uncertainty in Epidemiology

Autor: Elart von Collani
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: Statistical Modeling for Biological Systems ISBN: 9783030346744
Popis: Epidemiology is the branch of science on which public health research is founded. This essay shall review some of the principles underlying current methodology, revealing some ambiguities and inconsistencies. A new approach is proposed, the Bernoulli space, which is a complete model of uncertainty in a given situation. Each part of the model is necessary and the entire model is sufficient for describing all relevant parts of uncertainty. Using the Bernoulli space two aims are achieved: (1) Reliable and accurate predictions are obtained as basis for the decision-making process; (2) A unique interpretation of the obtained experimental results is obtained.
Databáze: OpenAIRE