Conceptual framework for adaptive management of coupled human and natural systems with respect to climate change uncertainty

Autor: Tony Prato
Rok vydání: 2016
Předmět:
Zdroj: Australasian Journal of Environmental Management. 24:47-63
ISSN: 2159-5356
1448-6563
DOI: 10.1080/14486563.2016.1251347
Popis: Managers of coupled human and natural systems (CHANS) face the challenging task of managing those systems when there is uncertainty about future changes in drivers of the outcomes of management actions. To assist in meeting that challenge, a fuzzy, multiple-objective, passive adaptive management (AM) framework is developed that can be used to determine preferred management actions for multiple planning periods when there is uncertainty about one or more system drivers. The proposed framework requires: (1) selecting management actions and objectives; (2) establishing standards for objectives; (3) choosing budgets, drivers, and driver scenarios; (4) estimating management objectives; (5) identifying acceptable management actions; (6) determining preferred management actions; and (7) evaluating whether or not passive AM is advantageous. The framework is demonstrated for managing a hypothetical highway corridor in a national park based on four objectives pertaining to the corridor: (1) minimising conge...
Databáze: OpenAIRE