Furor over the Fed: A President’s Tweets and Central Bank Independence

Autor: Dmitry Matveev, Antoine Camous
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: CESifo Economic Studies. 67:106-127
ISSN: 1612-7501
1610-241X
DOI: 10.1093/cesifo/ifaa020
Popis: We illustrate how financial market data are informative about the interactions between monetary and fiscal policy. Federal funds futures are private contracts that reflect investor’s expectations about future monetary policy decisions. By relating price movements of these contracts with President Trump’s tweets on monetary policy, we explore how financial market participants have perceived attempts by the President to influence monetary policy decisions. Our results indicate that market participants expected the Federal Reserve Bank to adjust monetary policy in the direction suggested by President Trump. (JEL codes: E44, E52, and E58)
Databáze: OpenAIRE