FORECASTING TRIP ATTRACTION BASED ON COMMERCIAL LAND USE CHARACTERISTICS

Autor: Pretina George, Gymmy Joseph Kattor, Rajiv Gandhi
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology. :471-479
ISSN: 2319-1163
2321-7308
DOI: 10.15623/ijret.2013.0209072
Popis: Trip Attraction is fundamental in planning of trans portation facilities. It is important to the traffic engineer and urban planner in considering the impact of new development such as o ffice complex, shopping center and residential deve lopment. This paper focuses its study on the formulation of a trip attraction m odel using multiple regression technique for the co mmercial land use in medium sized towns of Kerala. Questionnaire surveys are c onducted for the eight selected commercial nodes fr om the three medium sized towns Tirur, Perinthalmanna, and Ponnani in Kerala. Socioeconomic surveys are conducted for the select ed towns for obtaining the origin-destination data. The correlation and regres sion analysis are performed based on these surveyed data. The study showed that the multiple regression model with the three indepe ndent variables namely the number of commercial est ablishments, percentage of shops in the commercial node and percentage of bank s in the commercial node with the R 2 and Adjusted R 2 value of 0.991 and 0.9844 respectively gives the better estimate of trip attraction. After model formulation, the model accuracy was also tested by examining the assumptions of multiple regression. The model is fo und to be accurate during the assumption examinatio n process. This model would be very useful for estimating the trips attracted tnew or existing commercial center in any medium sized towns in Kerala, and thus aid to assess the traffic impact of the commercial center on the geometric design of roadways in the sarea.
Databáze: OpenAIRE