Toward Solving of the Turn-of-the-Month Effect Puzzle

Autor: Uri Ben-Zion, Lior Gal, Ahron Rosenfeld
Rok vydání: 2015
Předmět:
Zdroj: SSRN Electronic Journal.
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2699571
Popis: The turn-of-the-month (TOM) anomaly is widely discussed in the literature of the last three decades covering US and other equity markets. In this study we identify new characteristics and sources of this anomaly. We use data of US indices spanning more than 80 years. Our findings relate to existing explanations of the anomaly in the literature, but shed new light on its sources. Our findings pinpoint the specific months during the year in which the anomaly is significant. We show that a significant TOM anomaly in a few months suffices to generate a significant pattern for decades. In addition, we identify the relationship between the TOM effect and other market anomalies as well as the correlation between the anomaly and capital market cycles. Finally, we conclude that the effect exists in the core return data, under regular volatility, and cannot be dismissed as stemming from outliers.
Databáze: OpenAIRE