Daily Passenger Volume Prediction in the Bus Transportation System using ARIMAX Model with Big Data

Autor: Yinna Ye, Yingchen Su
Rok vydání: 2020
Předmět:
Zdroj: CyberC
DOI: 10.1109/cyberc49757.2020.00055
Popis: Based on the real data collected from the bus IC card payment database, firstly a time series of daily passenger volumes in a given bus line was obtained and then two kinds of time series models, ARMA with quadratic trend and ARIMAX, were proposed to do the prediction. The experiment results show that both models can make prediction effectively and especially ARIMAX model, which takes daily temperatures in to consideration, performs better in terms of prediction accuracy.
Databáze: OpenAIRE