Short-Run Crude Oil Price and Surplus Production Capacity
Autor: | Joanne Shore, John Zyren, Michael Ye |
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Rok vydání: | 2006 |
Předmět: | |
Zdroj: | International Advances in Economic Research. 12:390-394 |
ISSN: | 1573-966X 1083-0898 |
DOI: | 10.1007/s11294-006-9026-2 |
Popis: | This paper shows the effect that surplus crude oil production capacity has on short-term crude oil prices. A simple model using Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) industrial inventories and Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) surplus production capacity is introduced. This model provides improved forecasts for the post Gulf War I time period over models without the capacity variable. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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