Short-Run Crude Oil Price and Surplus Production Capacity

Autor: Joanne Shore, John Zyren, Michael Ye
Rok vydání: 2006
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Advances in Economic Research. 12:390-394
ISSN: 1573-966X
1083-0898
DOI: 10.1007/s11294-006-9026-2
Popis: This paper shows the effect that surplus crude oil production capacity has on short-term crude oil prices. A simple model using Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) industrial inventories and Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) surplus production capacity is introduced. This model provides improved forecasts for the post Gulf War I time period over models without the capacity variable.
Databáze: OpenAIRE