A Vector Autoregressive Analysis Of An Oil-Dependent Emerging Economy - Nigeria

Autor: C. Pat Obi, Amitava Chatterjee, O. Felix Ayadi
Rok vydání: 2000
Předmět:
Zdroj: OPEC Review. 24:329-349
ISSN: 1468-0076
0277-0180
DOI: 10.1111/1468-0076.00087
Popis: This paper models the interrelationship among a variety of macroeconomic variables representing the financial, as well as the energy, sectors of the Nigerian economy from 1975 through 1994. The attempt is to investigate the impact of the energy sector on the functioning of the Nigerian economy, including the financial markets. The investigation is explored within a vector autoregressive (VAR) system. The results reveal that the energy sector exerts a significant influence on the Nigerian economy by acting as a prime mover. More importantly, Nigeria seems to find itself in a vicious circle, because of its inability to exercise control over the price of its main export and its imports. Thus, the strength and autonomy exhibited by Nigerias macroeconomic managers during the oil boom era appears to have been barren.
Databáze: OpenAIRE
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