Shipping network design in a growth market: The case of Indonesia
Autor: | Ningwen Tu, Dimas Adiputranto, Xiaowen Fu, Zhi-Chun Li |
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Rok vydání: | 2018 |
Předmět: |
050210 logistics & transportation
Government 021103 operations research Water transport 05 social sciences Transport network 0211 other engineering and technologies Transportation Social Welfare 02 engineering and technology Investment (macroeconomics) Network planning and design Transport engineering Competition (economics) Default gateway 0502 economics and business Business Business and International Management Industrial organization Civil and Structural Engineering |
Zdroj: | Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. 117:108-125 |
ISSN: | 1366-5545 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.tre.2017.10.001 |
Popis: | This paper investigates the design issues of a shipping network when cargo demand increases rapidly. A gravity-type model for origin-destination (OD) demand estimation is first presented and calibrated based on the current cargo volumes of the Indonesian maritime market. A model for maximizing total social welfare is then proposed to design the shipping network with cargo demand levels forecasted for future years. The results show that for the Indonesian maritime market, a hub-and-spoke network with fully connected hub ports is better than a network with sequentially connected hub ports in terms of total social welfare. The optimal choices for the international gateway and domestic hub ports vary as cargo demand increases over time. The results suggest that a progressive policy can be promising for infrastructure investments in developing countries: government planning and regulations may be introduced in early years to enhance infrastructure utilization and economic return. With increased demand the market may be liberalized to promote healthy competition. |
Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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