A Historical Data Based Ensemble System for Efficient Stock Price Prediction

Autor: Manoj Madhava Gore, Yanyan Jiang, Archana Pandita, Liang Ouyang, Vijay Kumar Dwivedi, Didin Mujahidin, Quan Wang , Shan Syedhidayat, Al-Hadad Mubarak Abdullah Ali Mohsen, Manish Kumar, Jinrong Wang, Mulugeta Mulat, Fazlurrahman Khan , Gizachew Muluneh, Ahmet Tarik Baykal, Shen Tian, Dinesh Kumar, Bin Yu
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Recent Advances in Computer Science and Communications. 14:1182-1212
ISSN: 2666-2558
DOI: 10.2174/2213275912666190730161807
Popis: Background: Stock price prediction is a challenging task. The social, economic, political, and various other factors cause frequent abrupt changes in the stock price. This article proposes a historical data-based ensemble system to predict the closing stock price with higher accuracy and consistency over the existing stock price prediction systems. Objective: The primary objective of this article is to predict the closing price of a stock for the next trading in more accurate and consistent manner over the existing methods employed for the stock price prediction. Method: The proposed system combines various machine learning-based prediction models employing Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression regularization technique to enhance the accuracy of stock price prediction system as compared to any one of the base prediction models. Results: The analysis of results for all the eleven stocks (listed under Information Technology sector on the Bombay Stock Exchange, India) reveals that the proposed system performs best (on all defined metrics of the proposed system) for training datasets and test datasets comprising of all the stocks considered in the proposed system. Conclusion: The proposed ensemble model consistently predicts stock price with a high degree of accuracy over the existing methods used for the prediction.
Databáze: OpenAIRE