| Popis: |
The problem of assessing operational stability and, accordingly, assessing the storage and safe operation periods of objects (for example, load-bearing structural structures made of polymer composite materials (PCM)) has always been one of the most important. At present, this prediction problem is mainly solved on the basis of product testing, as well as a detailed study of the regularities of the physicochemical aging processes occurring in PCM and changes in the physical and mechanical characteristics of products, and the creation on this basis of appropriate test methods and mathematical prediction models. The paper considers the problem of increasing the reliability of assessing the maximum service life of multicomponent structures by constructing predictive models using the results of optical-thermal and electrical non-destructive testing of the state of objects by temperature fields and the value of internal deformation of the material under force on the structure as input information. It is shown that in the case of using logical approaches as a software tool for predicting the ultimate resource of structures made of polymer composite materials, part of the knowledge should be used for reasoning that provides an explanation of the conclusions drawn, since formal logic is of limited applicability, especially in conditions of incomplete or uncertain information. In this case, the solution to the problem becomes the identification and establishment of cause-and-effect relationships. For the tasks of technical assessment of the quality of structures and their service life, the use of such logical conclusions as inductive, deductive and analogous conclusions is impossible, since for their work, they require all information about the diagnosed structure. The use of the proposed method for assessing the service life will allow timely stopping the loading of products with loads and, thus, preventing structural destruction. It should be borne in mind that in order to reliably predict the ultimate service life of complex structures made of composite materials using the proposed method, a set of various input instrumental and subjective information about the structural and operational characteristics of the product is required, including information on intermediate tests, non-destructive testing data. at various stages of manufacturing, design features, stability of parameters during the development process, subjective opinions of specialists, changes in the properties of materials from time to time and loads, etc. Implementation of the proposed approach will allow creating a new generation of test methods and predicting operational stability with an assessment of the limiting service life of elements and structures, which, ultimately, will provide an additional opportunity for developing practical recommendations for confirming or extending the warranty periods of operation and increasing the reliability and safety of operation of structures. |
