Approach for retrieving similar stock price patterns using dynamic programming method

Autor: Yoshihisa Udagawa
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Zdroj: iiWAS
DOI: 10.1145/3151759.3151820
Popis: With the widespread use of the internet, online stock trading becomes popular. A huge amount of stock trading data are accumulated in the internet. Now, stock price prediction is a challenging research subject of the data mining techniques. Because stock price can vary according to uncontrollable factors such as interest ratios, investors' sentiment, or political actions, the fluctuation of stock prices moves seemingly random. However, technical analyses of stock prices recognize that there are chart patterns occurred repeatedly known as "Japanese candlestick chart patterns" for examples. In this paper, we propose a dynamic programming approach to retrieve similar stock price patterns. The longest common substring (LCS) algorithm is improved to deal with similar numeric sequences. The proposed LCS algorithm is compared with the Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) measure through experiments using the Nikkei stock average. Results on a morning star pattern being known as a powerful reversal pattern show that the proposed LCS algorithm finds the results as expected. However, from the viewpoint of investors, the proposed algorithm has room for improvements.
Databáze: OpenAIRE