The J-curve Revisited: An Empirical Analysis for Canada

Autor: George J. Georgopoulos
Rok vydání: 2008
Předmět:
Zdroj: Atlantic Economic Journal. 36:315-332
ISSN: 1573-9678
0197-4254
DOI: 10.1007/s11293-008-9124-z
Popis: This paper examines exchange rate and trade data to determine whether J-curve effects have occurred for Canada in recent history. With a unique set of data on import and export volumes, the response of the trade balance and its components to exchange rate changes are determined empirically over 1981:1–2005:12 through impulse response functions. The responses have taken into account dominant long-run feedback effects, where the long-run parameters have been estimated by the Johansen cointegration technique. The results show the J-curve phenomenon does not exist for Canada. Robustness checks show the results do not change when looking at the responses over the pre-NAFTA and NAFTA periods.
Databáze: OpenAIRE