Resilience planning in hazards-humans-infrastructure nexus: A multi-agent simulation for exploratory assessment of coastal water supply infrastructure adaptation to sea-level rise
| Autor: | Ali Mostafavi, Maria Presa Reyes, Kambiz Rasoulkhani, Mostafa Batouli |
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| Rok vydání: | 2020 |
| Předmět: |
Service (systems architecture)
Environmental Engineering 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences business.industry Computer science Ecological Modeling 0208 environmental biotechnology Environmental resource management Water supply 02 engineering and technology Investment (macroeconomics) 01 natural sciences Hazard 020801 environmental engineering Saltwater intrusion Adaptation (computer science) business Resilience (network) Nexus (standard) Software 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| Zdroj: | Environmental Modelling & Software. 125:104636 |
| ISSN: | 1364-8152 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104636 |
| Popis: | Coastal water supply infrastructure systems are exposed to saltwater intrusion exacerbated by sea-level rise stressors. To enable assessing the long-term resilience of these systems to the impact of sea-level rise, this study developed a novel hazards-humans-infrastructure nexus framework that enables the integrated modeling of stochastic processes of hazard scenarios, decision-theoretic elements of adaptation planning processes of utility agencies, and dynamic processes of water supply infrastructure performance. Using the proposed framework and data collected from South Miami-Dade service area, a multi-agent simulation model was created to conduct exploratory assessments of the long-term resilience of water supply infrastructure under various sea-level rise scenarios and adaptation approaches. The results showed the capability of the proposed model for scenario landscape generation to discover robust adaptation pathways for enhanced infrastructure resilience under uncertainty. The analysis results could provide actionable scientific information to water infrastructure managers to improve their adaptation planning and investment decision-making processes. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
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