Development of a seasonal forecast model for Kuwait winter precipitation

Autor:	Russell S. Vose, Nancy Selover, Hassan A Nasrallah, Robert C. Balling
Rok vydání:	2001
Předmět:	Winter rainfall Ecology Atmospheric circulation Climatology Variance (land use) Environmental science Humidity Predictor variables Precipitation Arid Ecology Evolution Behavior and Systematics Earth-Surface Processes Teleconnection
Zdroj:	Journal of Arid Environments. 48:233-242
ISSN:	0140-1963
DOI:	10.1006/jare.2000.0746
Popis:	Winter rainfall in Kuwait is important to a variety of activities in the region, and accurate forecasts a season in advance would serve many useful functions. In this investigation, we develop a statistical forecast model that explains over 70% of the variance in Kuwait winter precipitation. Regional sea surface temperatures and several teleconnection indices provide the key predictor variables. These six variables are all well documented in terms of their contributions to moisture, instability, and a triggering mechanism in the atmospheric circulation. The predictor variables are all easily obtained making the model highly operational.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::5a3514a281ad87da74cd90605990fdf1 https://doi.org/10.1006/jare.2000.0746 Zobrazit plný text záznamu Full Text from ScienceDirect