Forecasting the insolvency of US banks using support vector machines (SVMs) based on local learning feature selection

Autor: Theophilos Papadimitriou, Vasilios Plakandaras, John C. Mourmouris, Periklis Gogas
Rok vydání: 2013
Předmět:
Zdroj: International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics. 3:83
ISSN: 1757-1189
1757-1170
DOI: 10.1504/ijcee.2013.056267
Popis: We propose a Support Vector Machine (SVM)-based structural model to forecast the collapse of banking institutions in the USA using publicly disclosed information from their financial statements on a four-year rolling window. In our approach, the optimum input variable set is defined from a large data set using an iterative relevance-based selection procedure. We train an SVM model to classify banks as solvent and insolvent. The resulting model exhibits significant ability in bank default forecasting.
Databáze: OpenAIRE