Economic uncertainty and its spillover networks: Evidence from the Asia-Pacific countries

Autor: Saijie Ding, Hao Chen, Wenjin Tang
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Pacific-Basin Finance Journal. 67:101539
ISSN: 0927-538X
DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2021.101539
Popis: We study the spillover effects and networks of economic uncertainty in 12 Asia-Pacific countries from 2000 to 2020, combining the mixed frequency expectation maximization algorithm and factor-augmented vector autoregressive model to construct economic uncertainty indexes. Our estimates suggest a complex and closely related network of economic uncertainty in the Asia-Pacific region, with both developed and developing countries as important network nodes. In contrast, the spillover networks of economic policy uncertainty are dominated by a few developed countries. The study provides a new reference for Asia-Pacific countries to assess uncertainty more accurately and implement more forward-looking economic policies.
Databáze: OpenAIRE