An Integrating of Clinical, Pathological, and Radiomic Approach to Predict the Microsatellite Instability in Rectal Carcinoma

Autor: Peng Yu, Yanqing Ma, Bingchen Chen, Yuguo Wei, Niping Song, Jiankai Li, Ziang Wan, Hang Yuan, Shiliang Tu
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-957494/v1
Popis: Objective: To develop an integrative model with clinical, pathological, and radiomic characteristics to predict the status of microsatellite instability (MSI) in rectal carcinoma (RC). Methods: A cohort of 788 RCs with 97 high MSI status (MSI-H) and 691 microsatellite stable status (MSS) were enrolled. The clinical and pathological characteristics were recorded. The radiomic features were calculated after segmentation of volume of interests and then patients were divided into the training set and validation set with a random proportion of 7:3. The logistic models of simple clinical characteristics (LM-Clin), pathological characteristics (LM-Patho), and radiomic features (LM-Radio) were constructed to distinguish MSI-H from MSS. The relevant radiomic score was calculated. Finally, a integrative nomogram (LM-Nomo) including significant clinical, pathological characteristics, and radiomics was developed. The area under receiver operator curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the efficacy of prediction. Results: The AUC of simple LM-Clin including variables of CEA and hypertension and LM-Patho including characteristics of gross type and lymph node metastasis ratio (LNR) was 0.584 (95%CI, 0.549-0.619) and 0.585 (95%CI, 0.550-0.619), which was lower than that of LM-Radio including 12 radiomic features with AUC of 0.737 (95%CI, 0.675-0.799). The LM-Nomo contained CEA, hypertension, LNR, and radiomic score, and the AUC was 0.757 (95%CI, 0.726-0.787). Conclusion: The AUCs of LM-Clin and LM-Patho were disappointing and lower than that of LM-Radio. The LM-Nomo demonstrated the best performance in predicting MSI-H status.
Databáze: OpenAIRE