Evaluating Currency Risk in Emerging Markets

Autor: Violetta Dalla, Serguei Novak, Liudas Giraitis
Rok vydání: 2007
Předmět:
Zdroj: Acta Applicandae Mathematicae. 97:163-175
ISSN: 1572-9036
0167-8019
DOI: 10.1007/s10440-007-9128-8
Popis: We present a systematic approach to the problem of evaluating currency risk. The approach involves a test for stationarity, and a method of estimating Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) from dependent heavy-tailed data. Various estimation methods are compared and the accuracy of the approach is discussed. An application of the technique to the Mexican peso/US dollar exchange rate reveals the level of currency risk foreign investors face in Mexico.
Databáze: OpenAIRE