Expert judgement and lethal toxicity of inhaled chemicals

Autor:	F Woudenberg, L.H.J. Goossens, P Van Der Torn, Roger M. Cooke
Rok vydání:	1998
Předmět:	Protocol (science) Computer science Strategy and Management General Engineering General Social Sciences Probit computer.software_genre Risk analysis (engineering) Overall performance Data mining Expert judgement Safety Risk Reliability and Quality computer health care economics and organizations
Zdroj:	Journal of Risk Research. 1:117-133
ISSN:	1466-4461 1366-9877
DOI:	10.1080/136698798377222
Popis:	The application of formal expert judgement for assessing quantitative data of the toxicity of large amounts of inhaled chemical substances after a potential major hazards incident is described. In this particular application, the expert assessments were used to derive probit relations for the acute lethal effects of five hazardous substances: ammonia, acrylonitrile, hydrogen fluoride, sulphur trioxide and azinphos-methyl. The purpose of the study was to develop a protocol for selecting experts and the elicitation and analysis of expert assessments, to apply this protocol to generate probit relations for representative substances, and to evaluate the overall performance of the protocol. The use of formal expert judgement includes quantitative estimates of variables, calibration of experts and representation of uncertainty on the variables. This enables analysts to optimize combined experts' assessments for establishing quantitative results for further use in probit relations. Twenty-seven experts, distribu...
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::4d54dea9429ed20188efefebe19c8b10 https://doi.org/10.1080/136698798377222 Zobrazit plný text záznamu Plný text ve formátu PDF