Discount rates and risk in the economic analysis of agricultural projects

Autor: Hone, Simon, Gooday, Peter, Hafi, Ahmed, Greenville, Jared
Rok vydání: 2022
Předmět:
DOI: 10.25814/pdwp-6y91
Popis: Purpose This technical paper provides rigorous and practical guidance on how economists should approach discount rates and the treatment of risk in their analysis of agricultural projects. Key findings • The standard approach in most Australian economic analysis is to discount future costs and benefits at 7 per cent. However, this is not always a good approximation. In particular, it does not account for differences in riskiness between the projects being evaluated and alternatives. • The theoretically correct approach for discount rates and the treatment of risk is described and contrasted with the standard approach. Revisiting a previous biosecurity application, we show that the theoretically correct approach can make a substantial difference.
Databáze: OpenAIRE