Testing the Median Voter Model and Moving Beyond its Limits: Do Personal Characteristics Explain Legislative Shirking?

Autor:	David Stadelmann, Marco Portmann
Rok vydání:	2017
Předmět:	Matching (statistics) Public economics media_common.quotation_subject 05 social sciences Logit Voter model General Social Sciences Legislature Crowding out 0506 political science 0502 economics and business Referendum 050602 political science & public administration Econometrics Economics Relevance (law) Quality (business) 050207 economics media_common
Zdroj:	Social Science Quarterly. 98:1264-1276
ISSN:	0038-4941
DOI:	10.1111/ssqu.12379
Popis:	Objectives This study quantifies the quality of the median voter model (MVM) and analyzes whether personal characteristics explain legislative shirking. Methods We employ a natural measure for divergence between politicians and voter preferences by matching final roll-call votes of politicians with referendum results. The relevance of personal characteristics for legislative shirking is analyzed by means of logit regressions. Results The MVM outperforms a random decision benchmark when predicting the behavior of politicians regarding the revealed preferences of their constituencies, but the model fails to account for a substantial part of its theoretical prediction. Personal characteristics of politicians do not explain overall legislative shirking. Conclusions Policy predictions based on the MVM should be carefully considered because of failing convergence. Majority elections tend to crowd out personal characteristics of politicians as potential explanations for legislative shirking.
Databáze:	OpenAIRE
Externí odkaz:	https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::4b7cb169d391afd4467bdfccd6de7394 https://doi.org/10.1111/ssqu.12379 Zobrazit plný text záznamu Plný text ve formátu PDF Plný text ve formátu HTML
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