The value of renewable energy research and development investments with default consideration
| Autor: | Jaehun Sim, Chae-Soo Kim |
|---|---|
| Rok vydání: | 2019 |
| Předmět: |
060102 archaeology
Renewable Energy Sustainability and the Environment Natural resource economics business.industry 020209 energy media_common.quotation_subject Fossil fuel 06 humanities and the arts 02 engineering and technology Investment (macroeconomics) Interest rate Renewable energy Probability of default Greenhouse gas Marine energy 0202 electrical engineering electronic engineering information engineering Economics 0601 history and archaeology business Energy source media_common |
| Zdroj: | Renewable Energy. 143:530-539 |
| ISSN: | 0960-1481 |
| Popis: | As one of the largest energy-consumption nations, the South Korean government has recently invested in the deployment and commercialization of various renewable energy sources to reduce the environmental impacts of fossil fuel-based energy sources. Thus, in order to investigate the likelihood the government will default on the investment of research and development (R&D) in the renewable energy industry, this study utilizes a system-dynamics approach to develop a default-prediction model based on the Black-Scholes-Merton model, while investigating the interactions of uncertainty factors and the impacts of the probability of default (PD) on renewable energy production and carbon emission reduction amounts from 2017 to 2030. The results of this study indicate that R&D investments in marine energy (2.64%) has a high default risk, while the use of waste energy (46.95 B kg CO2) results in the largest reduction in the amount of carbon emissions. In addition, the results show that the PD of the R&D investment decreases when the uncertainty of the unit price, the R&D investment amount, and the renewable energy production amount have increased. Further, the results of a Monte Carlo simulation indicate that the PD of the R&D investment is not greatly affected by the risk-free interest rate. |
| Databáze: | OpenAIRE |
| Externí odkaz: |
|
Full Text from ScienceDirect