Forecasting the value of credit scoring

Autor: Noryati Ahmad, Maheran Mohd Jaffar, Shakila Saad
Rok vydání: 2017
Předmět:
Zdroj: AIP Conference Proceedings.
ISSN: 0094-243X
DOI: 10.1063/1.4995844
Popis: Nowadays, credit scoring system plays an important role in banking sector. This process is important in assessing the creditworthiness of customers requesting credit from banks or other financial institutions. Usually, the credit scoring is used when customers send the application for credit facilities. Based on the score from credit scoring, bank will be able to segregate the “good” clients from “bad” clients. However, in most cases the score is useful at that specific time only and cannot be used to forecast the credit worthiness of the same applicant after that. Hence, bank will not know if “good” clients will always be good all the time or “bad” clients may become “good” clients after certain time. To fill up the gap, this study proposes an equation to forecast the credit scoring of the potential borrowers at a certain time by using the historical score related to the assumption. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) is used to measure the accuracy of the forecast scoring. Result shows the forecas...
Databáze: OpenAIRE