Applicability and performance of deterministic and probabilistic physically based landslide modeling in a data-scarce environment of the Colombian Andes

Autor: Oscar Santos Sánchez, María Fernanda Velásquez, Roberto J. Marin
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of South American Earth Sciences. 108:103175
ISSN: 0895-9811
Popis: Physically based models have been widely used around the world to study landslide occurrence. The accuracy in a physically based landslide susceptibility/hazard assessment depends mostly on the input parameters. In this research study, three physically based models' applicability and performance were assessed using deterministic and probabilistic approaches. It was carried out in a data-scarce environment: a tropical mountain basin of the Colombian Andes. TRIGRS, SLIP and Iverson models were applied with back analysis of the landslide events in the La Liboriana basin on May 18, 2015. The performance of the models was evaluated using ROC (receiver operating characteristic) analysis and %LRclass index. The results showed that the back analysis using landslide events could be a good alternative to define the input parameters for physically based models in data-scarce tropical mountain areas. The ROC analysis and %LRclass are considered useful techniques for assessing landslide modeling performance. The metric indices calculated should be seen as complementary information, and the drawbacks of these indices should be identified, as elucidated in this paper.
Databáze: OpenAIRE