Emergence scoring to identify frontier R&D topics and key players

Autor: Nils C. Newman, Jon Garner, Stephen Carley, Alan L. Porter
Rok vydání: 2019
Předmět:
Zdroj: Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 146:628-643
ISSN: 0040-1625
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.04.016
Popis: Indicators of technological emergence promise valuable intelligence to those determining R&D priorities. We present an implemented algorithm to calculate emergence scores for topical terms from abstract record sets. We offer a family of emergence indicators deriving from those scores. Primary emergence indicators identify “hot topic” terms. We then use those to generate secondary indicators that reflect organizations, countries, or authors especially active at frontiers in a target R&D domain. We also flag abstract records (papers or patents) rich in emergent technology content, and we score research fields on relative degree of emergence. This paper presents illustrative results for example topics – Nano-Enabled Drug Delivery, Non-Linear Programming, Dye Sensitized Solar Cells, and Big Data.
Databáze: OpenAIRE