Eliciting a mathematical model from the traffic safety index to estimate the number of road traffic accidents

Autor: Sahar S. Neham
Rok vydání: 2021
Předmět:
Zdroj: Journal of Physics: Conference Series. 1895:012028
ISSN: 1742-6596
1742-6588
DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/1895/1/012028
Popis: Traffic accidents have become one of the most important problems experienced by countries, leading to the death or injury of many people and the waste of money, which is supposed to be spent on developmental and economic projects that benefit the entire society. In Iraq with the absence of suitable recording system of (Iraqi Roads Traffic Accident Data) and the lack in the measure of highway safety. Thus, lead to error in the analysis of traffic accidents. The aim of this study is to estimate Road Safety Index value and developing a model related it with Road Traffic Accident. To reach the research aim, parameters of Roadway, traffic, Roadside, Pavement and Miscellaneous, characteristics of ten cities in central and southern Iraq (Baghdad, Babylon, Karbala, Najaf, Qadissiya, Muthanna, Dhi Qar, Wasit, Maysan and Basra) were studied. The results show that the extra increase of Road Traffic Accident can be represented by negative exponential trend in relation with Road Safety Index, at 0.05 level of significance 87.6% of variation in Road Safety Index can be accounted for by exponential relationship with Road Traffic Accident.
Databáze: OpenAIRE